THE FIRM

A Risk AFE for the multi-line distribution program.

For wholesale distributors in the $25M–$200M+ revenue band, the risk program is five or six material lines moving in parallel: property and inventory across distribution centers, auto liability and APD on the fleet, workers comp from warehouse operations and over-the-road drivers, product liability tied to lines of trade carried, and contractual risk transfer baked into supplier and customer agreements. We produce a Risk AFE that runs all of them through the same five-method analytical panel CFOs already use on every other capital case: NPV, IRR, payback, sensitivity, scenarios, Monte Carlo. The recommendation arrives with a confidence range and a program structure that holds up to board review and to the working capital lender’s covenant scrutiny.

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TWO DOORS

Same company. The CFO sees the economics. The CEO sees the enterprise.

FOR THE CFO

The cost line that runs across every operation. Your total cost of commercial risk (premium, retained losses, mitigation spend, and administration) is likely sitting at 5 to 15 percent of EBITDA at distribution scale. Fleet alone often carries the largest single-line opportunity: telematics, hard-braking and aggressive-driving controls, and route discipline have peer-reviewed effectiveness data the Risk AFE translates directly into modeled NPV and a payback period. Warehouse workers comp tells the same story; the analysis runs the same way. The insurance program structure is the other recovery lever: retentions, layering, and collateral choices all carry NPV impact the Risk AFE quantifies on the same panel. We do the work, you decide.

FOR THE CEO

As CEO of a distribution business, every commercial risk decision is an enterprise-value question — and a back-office workload that has no business taking your time. The Risk AFE removes both. Multi-line risk capital decisions arrive at your desk as analytical recommendations packaged the way your team would build any other capital case: NPV with confidence ranges, payback period, sensitivity tornado, EBITDA volatility translated to enterprise value at your industry multiple. You approve. The program runs without your personal involvement. The Risk Capital Value Bridge each fiscal year decomposes realized value into the same format an acquirer or lender already uses, so when the diligence room eventually opens, the work is already done.

Talk to us about your distribution risk program.

A 30 to 60 minute conversation about your distribution business, your current risk program, and how we work. No fee. No pitch.

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